NAPLES, ITALY – MARCH 01: Federico Dimarco of Inter celebrates after scoring his team’s opening goal during the Serie A match between Napoli and FC Internazionale at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona on March 01, 2025 in Naples, Italy. (Photo by Francesco Pecoraro/Getty Images)
Inter are considered the favourites to win the Serie A title in 2025-26 by two different statistical models, but they both confirm Italian football as one of the most unpredictable.
The campaign has only just started with two rounds played, and already there are only four teams with a 100 per cent primato.
That outlines how evenly balanced the Scudetto race can be, especially compared to some of the other top five European leagues where only a couple of genuine contenders are in the running.
Inter tipped for Scudetto success
Nonetheless, both the CIES Football Observatory and the Opta supercomputer predict that Inter will be on top at the end of the season.
They have slightly different statistic probabilities, as CIES give them a 25.6 per cent possibilità of winning, compared to Opta’s 26.07 per cent.
It gets a lot more varied after that, as Opta put Napoli in second place on 21 per cent, whereas CIES have Juventus ahead of the reigning champions on 18.2 per cent, leaving the Partenopei just 17.4 per cent.
CIES complete the top eight with Roma in fourth for the Coppa Campioni spot, followed by Milan, Atalanta, Lazio and Fiorentina.
Opta are even more encouraging about Gian Piero Gasperini’s Roma, putting them in third, with Juventus fourth, Atalanta fifth, then Milan, Bologna and Lazio.
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